🌍 International Friendlies · Friendly International
Cape Verde Islands vs Bermuda
Jun 06, 08:00 PM
🔥 ELITE PREDICTION
Cape Verde Islands Home Win
90%
Predicted score: 3-0
Outcome Probabilities
1X2 — Match Result
Over/Under 2.5
Both Teams Score
Most Likely Scores
3-0
16.8%
2-0
16.8%
4-0
12.6%
Pre-match Outlook
Goalence's Pi-Ratings model gives Cape Verde Islands a clear edge against Bermuda in International Friendlies — 90% confidence (ELITE tier) with an expected scoreline of 3-0.
Expected goals lean high — λ 3.00 for Cape Verde Islands, λ 0.29 for Bermuda, summing to 3.29; over 2.5 sits at 64% probability.
The model favors a one-sided sheet — BTTS no at 76% — pointing toward at least one team being kept off the board.
How the Model Works
We use an iterative Pi-Ratings model: each team has separate home and away attack/defense ratings, updated after every match. Lambda values are converted to outcome probabilities via Poisson distribution. Match result, over/under, and BTTS predictions are all derived from a single coherent model.
Cape Verde Islands vs Bermuda — Cape Verde Islands Home Win: 90%. λ (Home): 3.00 · λ (Away): 0.29.
Predictions are produced by statistical models and cannot be guaranteed. Use as reference only.