🌍 International Friendlies · Friendly International
Cape Verde Islands vs Serbia
May 31, 01:30 PM
○ Normal PREDICTION
Draw
38%
Predicted score: 0-0
Outcome Probabilities
1X2 — Match Result
Cape Verde Islands27%
Draw38%
Serbia35%
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5 (3+)18%
Under 2.5 (0-2)82%
Both Teams Score
BTTS: Yes26%
BTTS: No74%
Most Likely Scores
0-0
23.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
1.6%
How the Model Works
We use an iterative Pi-Ratings model: each team has separate home and away attack/defense ratings, updated after every match. Lambda values are converted to outcome probabilities via Poisson distribution. Match result, over/under, and BTTS predictions are all derived from a single coherent model.
Cape Verde Islands vs Serbia — Draw: 38%. λ (Home): 0.65 · λ (Away): 0.79.
Predictions are produced by statistical models and cannot be guaranteed. Use as reference only.