🌍 International Friendlies · Friendly International
Colombia vs Costa Rica
Jun 01, 11:00 PM
🔥 ELITE PREDICTION
Colombia Home Win
75%
Predicted score: 2-0
Outcome Probabilities
1X2 — Match Result
Colombia75%
Draw15%
Costa Rica10%
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5 (3+)66%
Under 2.5 (0-2)34%
Both Teams Score
BTTS: Yes52%
BTTS: No48%
Most Likely Scores
2-0
11.1%
3-0
9.5%
2-1
9.1%
How the Model Works
We use an iterative Pi-Ratings model: each team has separate home and away attack/defense ratings, updated after every match. Lambda values are converted to outcome probabilities via Poisson distribution. Match result, over/under, and BTTS predictions are all derived from a single coherent model.
Colombia vs Costa Rica — Colombia Home Win: 75%. λ (Home): 2.58 · λ (Away): 0.82.
Predictions are produced by statistical models and cannot be guaranteed. Use as reference only.