🌍 International Friendlies · Friendly International
Comoros vs Rwanda
Jun 06, 04:00 PM
⭐ SAFE PREDICTION
Comoros Home Win
56%
Predicted score: 1-0
Outcome Probabilities
1X2 — Match Result
Comoros56%
Draw34%
Rwanda10%
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5 (3+)15%
Under 2.5 (0-2)85%
Both Teams Score
BTTS: Yes16%
BTTS: No84%
Most Likely Scores
1-0
27.8%
2-0
14.9%
3-0
5.3%
How the Model Works
We use an iterative Pi-Ratings model: each team has separate home and away attack/defense ratings, updated after every match. Lambda values are converted to outcome probabilities via Poisson distribution. Match result, over/under, and BTTS predictions are all derived from a single coherent model.
Comoros vs Rwanda — Comoros Home Win: 56%. λ (Home): 1.07 · λ (Away): 0.28.
Predictions are produced by statistical models and cannot be guaranteed. Use as reference only.