🌍 International Friendlies · Friendly International
Congo DR vs Chile
Jun 09, 04:00 PM
○ Normal PREDICTION
Chile Away Win
41%
Predicted score: 0-1
Outcome Probabilities
1X2 — Match Result
Congo DR22%
Draw38%
Chile41%
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5 (3+)16%
Under 2.5 (0-2)84%
Both Teams Score
BTTS: Yes24%
BTTS: No76%
Most Likely Scores
0-1
21.2%
0-2
9.0%
1-2
4.9%
How the Model Works
We use an iterative Pi-Ratings model: each team has separate home and away attack/defense ratings, updated after every match. Lambda values are converted to outcome probabilities via Poisson distribution. Match result, over/under, and BTTS predictions are all derived from a single coherent model.
Congo DR vs Chile — Chile Away Win: 41%. λ (Home): 0.54 · λ (Away): 0.85.
Predictions are produced by statistical models and cannot be guaranteed. Use as reference only.