🌍 International Friendlies · Friendly International
Curaçao vs Aruba
Jun 07, 12:00 AM · Stadion Ergilio Hato
🔥 ELITE PREDICTION
Curaçao Home Win
94%
Predicted score: 2-0
Outcome Probabilities
1X2 — Match Result
Curaçao94%
Draw6%
Aruba0%
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5 (3+)58%
Under 2.5 (0-2)42%
Both Teams Score
BTTS: Yes5%
BTTS: No95%
Most Likely Scores
2-0
21.5%
3-0
21.3%
4-0
15.9%
How the Model Works
We use an iterative Pi-Ratings model: each team has separate home and away attack/defense ratings, updated after every match. Lambda values are converted to outcome probabilities via Poisson distribution. Match result, over/under, and BTTS predictions are all derived from a single coherent model.
Curaçao vs Aruba — Curaçao Home Win: 94%. λ (Home): 2.98 · λ (Away): 0.05.
Predictions are produced by statistical models and cannot be guaranteed. Use as reference only.