goalence

🌍 International Friendlies · Friendly International

Denmark vs Congo DR

Jun 03, 06:00 PM · Maurice Dufrasnestadion

SAFE PREDICTION

Denmark Home Win

65%

Predicted score: 1-0

Outcome Probabilities

1X2 — Match Result

Denmark65%
Draw24%
Congo DR11%

Over/Under 2.5

Over 2.5 (3+)34%
Under 2.5 (0-2)66%

Both Teams Score

BTTS: Yes29%
BTTS: No71%

Most Likely Scores

1-0

20.5%

2-0

16.2%

3-0

8.5%

How the Model Works

We use an iterative Pi-Ratings model: each team has separate home and away attack/defense ratings, updated after every match. Lambda values are converted to outcome probabilities via Poisson distribution. Match result, over/under, and BTTS predictions are all derived from a single coherent model.

Denmark vs Congo DRDenmark Home Win: 65%. λ (Home): 1.58 · λ (Away): 0.46.

Predictions are produced by statistical models and cannot be guaranteed. Use as reference only.