🌍 International Friendlies · Friendly International
Egypt vs Russia
May 28, 12:00 PM · Misr Stadium
○ Normal PREDICTION
Russia Away Win
38%
Predicted score: 0-1
Outcome Probabilities
1X2 — Match Result
Egypt36%
Draw26%
Russia38%
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5 (3+)51%
Under 2.5 (0-2)49%
Both Teams Score
BTTS: Yes55%
BTTS: No45%
Most Likely Scores
0-1
9.1%
1-2
8.5%
0-2
6.3%
How the Model Works
We use an iterative Pi-Ratings model: each team has separate home and away attack/defense ratings, updated after every match. Lambda values are converted to outcome probabilities via Poisson distribution. Match result, over/under, and BTTS predictions are all derived from a single coherent model.
Egypt vs Russia — Russia Away Win: 38%. λ (Home): 1.34 · λ (Away): 1.39.
Predictions are produced by statistical models and cannot be guaranteed. Use as reference only.