🌍 International Friendlies · Friendly International
England vs Costa Rica
Jun 10, 08:00 PM
🔥 ELITE PREDICTION
England Home Win
73%
Predicted score: 2-0
Outcome Probabilities
1X2 — Match Result
England73%
Draw16%
Costa Rica11%
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5 (3+)65%
Under 2.5 (0-2)35%
Both Teams Score
BTTS: Yes53%
BTTS: No47%
Most Likely Scores
2-0
10.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-0
8.9%
How the Model Works
We use an iterative Pi-Ratings model: each team has separate home and away attack/defense ratings, updated after every match. Lambda values are converted to outcome probabilities via Poisson distribution. Match result, over/under, and BTTS predictions are all derived from a single coherent model.
England vs Costa Rica — England Home Win: 73%. λ (Home): 2.47 · λ (Away): 0.86.
Predictions are produced by statistical models and cannot be guaranteed. Use as reference only.