🌍 International Friendlies · Friendly International
England vs New Zealand
Jun 06, 08:00 PM · Raymond James Stadium
⭐ SAFE PREDICTION
England Home Win
66%
Predicted score: 1-0
Outcome Probabilities
1X2 — Match Result
England66%
Draw21%
New Zealand14%
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5 (3+)52%
Under 2.5 (0-2)48%
Both Teams Score
BTTS: Yes47%
BTTS: No53%
Most Likely Scores
1-0
12.5%
2-0
12.4%
2-1
9.7%
How the Model Works
We use an iterative Pi-Ratings model: each team has separate home and away attack/defense ratings, updated after every match. Lambda values are converted to outcome probabilities via Poisson distribution. Match result, over/under, and BTTS predictions are all derived from a single coherent model.
England vs New Zealand — England Home Win: 66%. λ (Home): 1.98 · λ (Away): 0.78.
Predictions are produced by statistical models and cannot be guaranteed. Use as reference only.