🌍 International Friendlies · Friendly International
Equatorial Guinea vs Comoros
Jun 09, 04:00 PM
○ Normal PREDICTION
Comoros Away Win
37%
Predicted score: 0-1
Outcome Probabilities
1X2 — Match Result
Equatorial Guinea29%
Draw33%
Comoros37%
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5 (3+)26%
Under 2.5 (0-2)74%
Both Teams Score
BTTS: Yes34%
BTTS: No66%
Most Likely Scores
0-1
16.5%
0-2
7.8%
1-2
6.3%
How the Model Works
We use an iterative Pi-Ratings model: each team has separate home and away attack/defense ratings, updated after every match. Lambda values are converted to outcome probabilities via Poisson distribution. Match result, over/under, and BTTS predictions are all derived from a single coherent model.
Equatorial Guinea vs Comoros — Comoros Away Win: 37%. λ (Home): 0.80 · λ (Away): 0.95.
Predictions are produced by statistical models and cannot be guaranteed. Use as reference only.