🌍 International Friendlies · Friendly International
France vs Northern Ireland
Jun 08, 07:10 PM · Stadium Lille Metropole
🔥 ELITE PREDICTION
France Home Win
89%
Predicted score: 2-0
Outcome Probabilities
1X2 — Match Result
France89%
Draw9%
Northern Ireland2%
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5 (3+)62%
Under 2.5 (0-2)38%
Both Teams Score
BTTS: Yes25%
BTTS: No75%
Most Likely Scores
2-0
17.1%
3-0
16.5%
4-0
12.0%
How the Model Works
We use an iterative Pi-Ratings model: each team has separate home and away attack/defense ratings, updated after every match. Lambda values are converted to outcome probabilities via Poisson distribution. Match result, over/under, and BTTS predictions are all derived from a single coherent model.
France vs Northern Ireland — France Home Win: 89%. λ (Home): 2.90 · λ (Away): 0.30.
Predictions are produced by statistical models and cannot be guaranteed. Use as reference only.