🌍 International Friendlies · Friendly International
Georgia vs Bahrain
Jun 05, 06:00 PM · Mikheil Meskhi Stadium
⭐ SAFE PREDICTION
Georgia Home Win
64%
Predicted score: 1-0
Outcome Probabilities
1X2 — Match Result
Georgia64%
Draw22%
Bahrain14%
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5 (3+)46%
Under 2.5 (0-2)54%
Both Teams Score
BTTS: Yes42%
BTTS: No58%
Most Likely Scores
1-0
14.9%
2-0
13.5%
2-1
9.3%
How the Model Works
We use an iterative Pi-Ratings model: each team has separate home and away attack/defense ratings, updated after every match. Lambda values are converted to outcome probabilities via Poisson distribution. Match result, over/under, and BTTS predictions are all derived from a single coherent model.
Georgia vs Bahrain — Georgia Home Win: 64%. λ (Home): 1.81 · λ (Away): 0.69.
Predictions are produced by statistical models and cannot be guaranteed. Use as reference only.