🌍 International Friendlies · Friendly International
Georgia vs Romania
Jun 02, 05:00 PM · Mikheil Meskhi Stadium
○ Normal PREDICTION
Georgia Home Win
48%
Predicted score: 2-1
Outcome Probabilities
1X2 — Match Result
Georgia48%
Draw23%
Romania29%
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5 (3+)64%
Under 2.5 (0-2)36%
Both Teams Score
BTTS: Yes64%
BTTS: No36%
Most Likely Scores
2-1
9.3%
1-0
7.0%
2-0
6.5%
How the Model Works
We use an iterative Pi-Ratings model: each team has separate home and away attack/defense ratings, updated after every match. Lambda values are converted to outcome probabilities via Poisson distribution. Match result, over/under, and BTTS predictions are all derived from a single coherent model.
Georgia vs Romania — Georgia Home Win: 48%. λ (Home): 1.86 · λ (Away): 1.42.
Predictions are produced by statistical models and cannot be guaranteed. Use as reference only.