🌍 International Friendlies · Friendly International
Gibraltar vs Cayman Islands
Jun 06, 05:00 PM · Europa point stadium
🔥 ELITE PREDICTION
Gibraltar Home Win
77%
Predicted score: 2-0
Outcome Probabilities
1X2 — Match Result
Gibraltar77%
Draw16%
Cayman Islands6%
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5 (3+)49%
Under 2.5 (0-2)51%
Both Teams Score
BTTS: Yes33%
BTTS: No67%
Most Likely Scores
2-0
16.9%
1-0
15.5%
3-0
12.3%
How the Model Works
We use an iterative Pi-Ratings model: each team has separate home and away attack/defense ratings, updated after every match. Lambda values are converted to outcome probabilities via Poisson distribution. Match result, over/under, and BTTS predictions are all derived from a single coherent model.
Gibraltar vs Cayman Islands — Gibraltar Home Win: 77%. λ (Home): 2.19 · λ (Away): 0.46.
Predictions are produced by statistical models and cannot be guaranteed. Use as reference only.