🌍 International Friendlies · Friendly International
Guatemala vs Czech Republic
Jun 05, 12:00 AM · Sports Illustrated Stadium
○ Normal PREDICTION
Guatemala Home Win
40%
Predicted score: 1-0
Outcome Probabilities
1X2 — Match Result
Guatemala40%
Draw26%
Czech Republic34%
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5 (3+)49%
Under 2.5 (0-2)51%
Both Teams Score
BTTS: Yes53%
BTTS: No47%
Most Likely Scores
1-0
10.0%
2-1
8.6%
2-0
6.9%
How the Model Works
We use an iterative Pi-Ratings model: each team has separate home and away attack/defense ratings, updated after every match. Lambda values are converted to outcome probabilities via Poisson distribution. Match result, over/under, and BTTS predictions are all derived from a single coherent model.
Guatemala vs Czech Republic — Guatemala Home Win: 40%. λ (Home): 1.37 · λ (Away): 1.25.
Predictions are produced by statistical models and cannot be guaranteed. Use as reference only.