🌍 International Friendlies · Friendly International
Haiti vs New Zealand
Jun 03, 12:00 AM · Chase Stadium
○ Normal PREDICTION
New Zealand Away Win
48%
Predicted score: 0-1
Outcome Probabilities
1X2 — Match Result
Haiti26%
Draw26%
New Zealand48%
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5 (3+)45%
Under 2.5 (0-2)55%
Both Teams Score
BTTS: Yes49%
BTTS: No51%
Most Likely Scores
0-1
12.4%
1-2
9.2%
0-2
9.1%
How the Model Works
We use an iterative Pi-Ratings model: each team has separate home and away attack/defense ratings, updated after every match. Lambda values are converted to outcome probabilities via Poisson distribution. Match result, over/under, and BTTS predictions are all derived from a single coherent model.
Haiti vs New Zealand — New Zealand Away Win: 48%. λ (Home): 1.00 · λ (Away): 1.47.
Predictions are produced by statistical models and cannot be guaranteed. Use as reference only.