🌍 International Friendlies · Friendly International
Haiti vs Peru
Jun 06, 12:00 AM · Nu Stadium
○ Normal PREDICTION
Peru Away Win
47%
Predicted score: 0-1
Outcome Probabilities
1X2 — Match Result
Haiti23%
Draw30%
Peru47%
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5 (3+)31%
Under 2.5 (0-2)69%
Both Teams Score
BTTS: Yes37%
BTTS: No63%
Most Likely Scores
0-1
17.1%
0-2
10.3%
1-2
7.7%
How the Model Works
We use an iterative Pi-Ratings model: each team has separate home and away attack/defense ratings, updated after every match. Lambda values are converted to outcome probabilities via Poisson distribution. Match result, over/under, and BTTS predictions are all derived from a single coherent model.
Haiti vs Peru — Peru Away Win: 47%. λ (Home): 0.75 · λ (Away): 1.20.
Predictions are produced by statistical models and cannot be guaranteed. Use as reference only.