🌍 International Friendlies · Friendly International
Hong Kong vs Mongolia
Jun 05, 12:00 PM
🔥 ELITE PREDICTION
Hong Kong Home Win
78%
Predicted score: 1-0
Outcome Probabilities
1X2 — Match Result
Hong Kong78%
Draw18%
Mongolia4%
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5 (3+)37%
Under 2.5 (0-2)63%
Both Teams Score
BTTS: Yes20%
BTTS: No80%
Most Likely Scores
1-0
21.7%
2-0
20.8%
3-0
13.3%
How the Model Works
We use an iterative Pi-Ratings model: each team has separate home and away attack/defense ratings, updated after every match. Lambda values are converted to outcome probabilities via Poisson distribution. Match result, over/under, and BTTS predictions are all derived from a single coherent model.
Hong Kong vs Mongolia — Hong Kong Home Win: 78%. λ (Home): 1.92 · λ (Away): 0.26.
Predictions are produced by statistical models and cannot be guaranteed. Use as reference only.