🌍 International Friendlies · Friendly International
Hungary vs Finland
Jun 05, 05:45 PM · Puskas Arena
⭐ SAFE PREDICTION
Hungary Home Win
64%
Predicted score: 1-0
Outcome Probabilities
1X2 — Match Result
Hungary64%
Draw21%
Finland14%
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5 (3+)50%
Under 2.5 (0-2)50%
Both Teams Score
BTTS: Yes45%
BTTS: No55%
Most Likely Scores
1-0
13.3%
2-0
12.6%
2-1
9.6%
How the Model Works
We use an iterative Pi-Ratings model: each team has separate home and away attack/defense ratings, updated after every match. Lambda values are converted to outcome probabilities via Poisson distribution. Match result, over/under, and BTTS predictions are all derived from a single coherent model.
Hungary vs Finland — Hungary Home Win: 64%. λ (Home): 1.90 · λ (Away): 0.76.
Predictions are produced by statistical models and cannot be guaranteed. Use as reference only.