🌍 International Friendlies · Friendly International
Iceland vs Argentina
Jun 10, 12:30 AM
🔥 ELITE PREDICTION
Argentina Away Win
85%
Predicted score: 0-2
Outcome Probabilities
1X2 — Match Result
Iceland5%
Draw11%
Argentina85%
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5 (3+)70%
Under 2.5 (0-2)30%
Both Teams Score
BTTS: Yes44%
BTTS: No56%
Most Likely Scores
0-2
12.1%
0-3
12.1%
0-4
9.0%
How the Model Works
We use an iterative Pi-Ratings model: each team has separate home and away attack/defense ratings, updated after every match. Lambda values are converted to outcome probabilities via Poisson distribution. Match result, over/under, and BTTS predictions are all derived from a single coherent model.
Iceland vs Argentina — Argentina Away Win: 85%. λ (Home): 0.62 · λ (Away): 2.99.
Predictions are produced by statistical models and cannot be guaranteed. Use as reference only.