🌍 International Friendlies · Friendly International
Iran vs Gambia
May 29, 12:00 PM · Mardan Sports Complex
⭐ SAFE PREDICTION
Iran Home Win
69%
Predicted score: 2-0
Outcome Probabilities
1X2 — Match Result
Iran69%
Draw17%
Gambia14%
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5 (3+)66%
Under 2.5 (0-2)34%
Both Teams Score
BTTS: Yes57%
BTTS: No43%
Most Likely Scores
2-0
9.6%
2-1
9.6%
1-0
7.9%
How the Model Works
We use an iterative Pi-Ratings model: each team has separate home and away attack/defense ratings, updated after every match. Lambda values are converted to outcome probabilities via Poisson distribution. Match result, over/under, and BTTS predictions are all derived from a single coherent model.
Iran vs Gambia — Iran Home Win: 69%. λ (Home): 2.43 · λ (Away): 0.99.
Predictions are produced by statistical models and cannot be guaranteed. Use as reference only.