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🌍 International Friendlies · Friendly International

Japan vs Iceland

May 31, 10:25 AM · New National Stadium

🔥 ELITE PREDICTION

Japan Home Win

80%

Predicted score: 3-0

Outcome Probabilities

1X2 — Match Result

Japan80%
Draw12%
Iceland8%

Over/Under 2.5

Over 2.5 (3+)76%
Under 2.5 (0-2)24%

Both Teams Score

BTTS: Yes57%
BTTS: No43%

Most Likely Scores

3-0

8.9%

2-0

8.8%

3-1

8.2%

How the Model Works

We use an iterative Pi-Ratings model: each team has separate home and away attack/defense ratings, updated after every match. Lambda values are converted to outcome probabilities via Poisson distribution. Match result, over/under, and BTTS predictions are all derived from a single coherent model.

Japan vs IcelandJapan Home Win: 80%. λ (Home): 3.04 · λ (Away): 0.92.

Predictions are produced by statistical models and cannot be guaranteed. Use as reference only.