🌍 International Friendlies · Friendly International
Japan vs Iceland
May 31, 10:25 AM · New National Stadium
🔥 ELITE PREDICTION
Japan Home Win
80%
Predicted score: 3-0
Outcome Probabilities
1X2 — Match Result
Japan80%
Draw12%
Iceland8%
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5 (3+)76%
Under 2.5 (0-2)24%
Both Teams Score
BTTS: Yes57%
BTTS: No43%
Most Likely Scores
3-0
8.9%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
8.2%
How the Model Works
We use an iterative Pi-Ratings model: each team has separate home and away attack/defense ratings, updated after every match. Lambda values are converted to outcome probabilities via Poisson distribution. Match result, over/under, and BTTS predictions are all derived from a single coherent model.
Japan vs Iceland — Japan Home Win: 80%. λ (Home): 3.04 · λ (Away): 0.92.
Predictions are produced by statistical models and cannot be guaranteed. Use as reference only.