🌍 International Friendlies · Friendly International
Kyrgyzstan vs Kenya
Jun 03, 01:00 PM
○ Normal PREDICTION
Kyrgyzstan Home Win
53%
Predicted score: 2-1
Outcome Probabilities
1X2 — Match Result
Kyrgyzstan53%
Draw21%
Kenya26%
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5 (3+)68%
Under 2.5 (0-2)32%
Both Teams Score
BTTS: Yes67%
BTTS: No33%
Most Likely Scores
2-1
9.3%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
6.5%
How the Model Works
We use an iterative Pi-Ratings model: each team has separate home and away attack/defense ratings, updated after every match. Lambda values are converted to outcome probabilities via Poisson distribution. Match result, over/under, and BTTS predictions are all derived from a single coherent model.
Kyrgyzstan vs Kenya — Kyrgyzstan Home Win: 53%. λ (Home): 2.09 · λ (Away): 1.43.
Predictions are produced by statistical models and cannot be guaranteed. Use as reference only.