🌍 International Friendlies · Friendly International
Luxembourg vs Italy
Jun 03, 06:45 PM · Stade de Luxembourg
🔥 ELITE PREDICTION
Italy Away Win
77%
Predicted score: 0-2
Outcome Probabilities
1X2 — Match Result
Luxembourg6%
Draw17%
Italy77%
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5 (3+)46%
Under 2.5 (0-2)54%
Both Teams Score
BTTS: Yes30%
BTTS: No70%
Most Likely Scores
0-2
17.7%
0-1
17.0%
0-3
12.3%
How the Model Works
We use an iterative Pi-Ratings model: each team has separate home and away attack/defense ratings, updated after every match. Lambda values are converted to outcome probabilities via Poisson distribution. Match result, over/under, and BTTS predictions are all derived from a single coherent model.
Luxembourg vs Italy — Italy Away Win: 77%. λ (Home): 0.42 · λ (Away): 2.08.
Predictions are produced by statistical models and cannot be guaranteed. Use as reference only.