🌍 International Friendlies · Friendly International
Mexico vs Serbia
Jun 05, 02:00 AM
⭐ SAFE PREDICTION
Mexico Home Win
60%
Predicted score: 1-0
Outcome Probabilities
1X2 — Match Result
Mexico60%
Draw30%
Serbia10%
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5 (3+)22%
Under 2.5 (0-2)78%
Both Teams Score
BTTS: Yes21%
BTTS: No79%
Most Likely Scores
1-0
25.2%
2-0
16.1%
3-0
6.8%
How the Model Works
We use an iterative Pi-Ratings model: each team has separate home and away attack/defense ratings, updated after every match. Lambda values are converted to outcome probabilities via Poisson distribution. Match result, over/under, and BTTS predictions are all derived from a single coherent model.
Mexico vs Serbia — Mexico Home Win: 60%. λ (Home): 1.27 · λ (Away): 0.35.
Predictions are produced by statistical models and cannot be guaranteed. Use as reference only.