🌍 International Friendlies · Friendly International
Moldova vs Bulgaria
Jun 05, 05:00 PM · Stadionul Zimbru
⭐ SAFE PREDICTION
Bulgaria Away Win
58%
Predicted score: 1-2
Outcome Probabilities
1X2 — Match Result
Moldova21%
Draw22%
Bulgaria58%
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5 (3+)60%
Under 2.5 (0-2)40%
Both Teams Score
BTTS: Yes58%
BTTS: No42%
Most Likely Scores
1-2
9.9%
0-1
8.9%
0-2
8.9%
How the Model Works
We use an iterative Pi-Ratings model: each team has separate home and away attack/defense ratings, updated after every match. Lambda values are converted to outcome probabilities via Poisson distribution. Match result, over/under, and BTTS predictions are all derived from a single coherent model.
Moldova vs Bulgaria — Bulgaria Away Win: 58%. λ (Home): 1.12 · λ (Away): 1.99.
Predictions are produced by statistical models and cannot be guaranteed. Use as reference only.