🌍 International Friendlies · Friendly International
Morocco vs Burundi
May 26, 04:00 PM · Mohammed VI Football Academy
🔥 ELITE PREDICTION
Morocco Home Win
92%
Predicted score: 2-0
Outcome Probabilities
1X2 — Match Result
Morocco92%
Draw8%
Burundi0%
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5 (3+)49%
Under 2.5 (0-2)51%
Both Teams Score
BTTS: Yes5%
BTTS: No95%
Most Likely Scores
2-0
23.9%
3-0
20.7%
1-0
18.5%
How the Model Works
We use an iterative Pi-Ratings model: each team has separate home and away attack/defense ratings, updated after every match. Lambda values are converted to outcome probabilities via Poisson distribution. Match result, over/under, and BTTS predictions are all derived from a single coherent model.
Morocco vs Burundi — Morocco Home Win: 92%. λ (Home): 2.59 · λ (Away): 0.05.
Predictions are produced by statistical models and cannot be guaranteed. Use as reference only.