🌍 International Friendlies · Friendly International
Morocco vs Madagascar
Jun 02, 05:00 PM · Stade Prince Moulay Abdallah
🔥 ELITE PREDICTION
Morocco Home Win
83%
Predicted score: 2-0
Outcome Probabilities
1X2 — Match Result
Morocco83%
Draw12%
Madagascar5%
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5 (3+)63%
Under 2.5 (0-2)37%
Both Teams Score
BTTS: Yes38%
BTTS: No62%
Most Likely Scores
2-0
14.4%
3-0
13.1%
1-0
10.7%
How the Model Works
We use an iterative Pi-Ratings model: each team has separate home and away attack/defense ratings, updated after every match. Lambda values are converted to outcome probabilities via Poisson distribution. Match result, over/under, and BTTS predictions are all derived from a single coherent model.
Morocco vs Madagascar — Morocco Home Win: 83%. λ (Home): 2.71 · λ (Away): 0.53.
Predictions are produced by statistical models and cannot be guaranteed. Use as reference only.