🌍 International Friendlies · Friendly International
Morocco vs Norway
Jun 07, 07:00 PM · Sports Illustrated Stadium
○ Normal PREDICTION
Morocco Home Win
42%
Predicted score: 2-1
Outcome Probabilities
1X2 — Match Result
Morocco42%
Draw23%
Norway36%
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5 (3+)66%
Under 2.5 (0-2)34%
Both Teams Score
BTTS: Yes67%
BTTS: No33%
Most Likely Scores
2-1
8.5%
1-0
5.8%
2-0
5.2%
How the Model Works
We use an iterative Pi-Ratings model: each team has separate home and away attack/defense ratings, updated after every match. Lambda values are converted to outcome probabilities via Poisson distribution. Match result, over/under, and BTTS predictions are all derived from a single coherent model.
Morocco vs Norway — Morocco Home Win: 42%. λ (Home): 1.79 · λ (Away): 1.63.
Predictions are produced by statistical models and cannot be guaranteed. Use as reference only.