🌍 International Friendlies · Friendly International
Netherlands vs Algeria
Jun 03, 06:45 PM · De Kuip
⭐ SAFE PREDICTION
Netherlands Home Win
62%
Predicted score: 2-1
Outcome Probabilities
1X2 — Match Result
Netherlands62%
Draw18%
Algeria19%
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5 (3+)75%
Under 2.5 (0-2)25%
Both Teams Score
BTTS: Yes69%
BTTS: No31%
Most Likely Scores
2-1
8.9%
3-1
7.5%
2-0
6.5%
How the Model Works
We use an iterative Pi-Ratings model: each team has separate home and away attack/defense ratings, updated after every match. Lambda values are converted to outcome probabilities via Poisson distribution. Match result, over/under, and BTTS predictions are all derived from a single coherent model.
Netherlands vs Algeria — Netherlands Home Win: 62%. λ (Home): 2.52 · λ (Away): 1.37.
Predictions are produced by statistical models and cannot be guaranteed. Use as reference only.