🌍 International Friendlies · Friendly International
Netherlands vs Uzbekistan
Jun 08, 06:45 PM
🔥 ELITE PREDICTION
Netherlands Home Win
76%
Predicted score: 2-0
Outcome Probabilities
1X2 — Match Result
Netherlands76%
Draw15%
Uzbekistan9%
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5 (3+)67%
Under 2.5 (0-2)33%
Both Teams Score
BTTS: Yes52%
BTTS: No48%
Most Likely Scores
2-0
10.9%
3-0
9.6%
2-1
9.0%
How the Model Works
We use an iterative Pi-Ratings model: each team has separate home and away attack/defense ratings, updated after every match. Lambda values are converted to outcome probabilities via Poisson distribution. Match result, over/under, and BTTS predictions are all derived from a single coherent model.
Netherlands vs Uzbekistan — Netherlands Home Win: 76%. λ (Home): 2.64 · λ (Away): 0.83.
Predictions are produced by statistical models and cannot be guaranteed. Use as reference only.