🌍 International Friendlies · Friendly International
Nigeria vs Zimbabwe
May 26, 06:30 PM · The Valley
🔥 ELITE PREDICTION
Nigeria Home Win
73%
Predicted score: 1-0
Outcome Probabilities
1X2 — Match Result
Nigeria73%
Draw19%
Zimbabwe8%
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5 (3+)45%
Under 2.5 (0-2)55%
Both Teams Score
BTTS: Yes33%
BTTS: No67%
Most Likely Scores
1-0
16.8%
2-0
16.6%
3-0
11.0%
How the Model Works
We use an iterative Pi-Ratings model: each team has separate home and away attack/defense ratings, updated after every match. Lambda values are converted to outcome probabilities via Poisson distribution. Match result, over/under, and BTTS predictions are all derived from a single coherent model.
Nigeria vs Zimbabwe — Nigeria Home Win: 73%. λ (Home): 1.98 · λ (Away): 0.49.
Predictions are produced by statistical models and cannot be guaranteed. Use as reference only.