🌍 International Friendlies · Friendly International
Northern Ireland vs Guinea
Jun 04, 04:00 PM · Estadio Municipal de La Linea
○ Normal PREDICTION
Northern Ireland Home Win
51%
Predicted score: 1-0
Outcome Probabilities
1X2 — Match Result
Northern Ireland51%
Draw30%
Guinea19%
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5 (3+)30%
Under 2.5 (0-2)70%
Both Teams Score
BTTS: Yes34%
BTTS: No66%
Most Likely Scores
1-0
18.6%
2-0
11.6%
2-1
7.6%
How the Model Works
We use an iterative Pi-Ratings model: each team has separate home and away attack/defense ratings, updated after every match. Lambda values are converted to outcome probabilities via Poisson distribution. Match result, over/under, and BTTS predictions are all derived from a single coherent model.
Northern Ireland vs Guinea — Northern Ireland Home Win: 51%. λ (Home): 1.25 · λ (Away): 0.66.
Predictions are produced by statistical models and cannot be guaranteed. Use as reference only.