🌍 International Friendlies · Friendly International
Norway vs Sweden
Jun 01, 05:00 PM · Ullevaal Stadion
🔥 ELITE PREDICTION
Norway Home Win
73%
Predicted score: 3-1
Outcome Probabilities
1X2 — Match Result
Norway73%
Draw14%
Sweden12%
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5 (3+)79%
Under 2.5 (0-2)21%
Both Teams Score
BTTS: Yes67%
BTTS: No33%
Most Likely Scores
3-1
8.1%
2-1
8.0%
3-0
6.6%
How the Model Works
We use an iterative Pi-Ratings model: each team has separate home and away attack/defense ratings, updated after every match. Lambda values are converted to outcome probabilities via Poisson distribution. Match result, over/under, and BTTS predictions are all derived from a single coherent model.
Norway vs Sweden — Norway Home Win: 73%. λ (Home): 3.01 · λ (Away): 1.22.
Predictions are produced by statistical models and cannot be guaranteed. Use as reference only.