🌍 International Friendlies · Friendly International
Peru vs Spain
Jun 09, 02:00 AM
🔥 ELITE PREDICTION
Spain Away Win
75%
Predicted score: 0-2
Outcome Probabilities
1X2 — Match Result
Peru7%
Draw18%
Spain75%
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5 (3+)45%
Under 2.5 (0-2)55%
Both Teams Score
BTTS: Yes30%
BTTS: No70%
Most Likely Scores
0-2
17.6%
0-1
17.3%
0-3
11.9%
How the Model Works
We use an iterative Pi-Ratings model: each team has separate home and away attack/defense ratings, updated after every match. Lambda values are converted to outcome probabilities via Poisson distribution. Match result, over/under, and BTTS predictions are all derived from a single coherent model.
Peru vs Spain — Spain Away Win: 75%. λ (Home): 0.43 · λ (Away): 2.03.
Predictions are produced by statistical models and cannot be guaranteed. Use as reference only.