🌍 International Friendlies · Friendly International
Philippines vs Guam
Jun 03, 11:30 AM
🔥 ELITE PREDICTION
Philippines Home Win
88%
Predicted score: 2-0
Outcome Probabilities
1X2 — Match Result
Philippines88%
Draw10%
Guam2%
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5 (3+)58%
Under 2.5 (0-2)42%
Both Teams Score
BTTS: Yes24%
BTTS: No76%
Most Likely Scores
2-0
18.1%
3-0
16.5%
1-0
13.3%
How the Model Works
We use an iterative Pi-Ratings model: each team has separate home and away attack/defense ratings, updated after every match. Lambda values are converted to outcome probabilities via Poisson distribution. Match result, over/under, and BTTS predictions are all derived from a single coherent model.
Philippines vs Guam — Philippines Home Win: 88%. λ (Home): 2.72 · λ (Away): 0.29.
Predictions are produced by statistical models and cannot be guaranteed. Use as reference only.