🌍 International Friendlies · Friendly International
Portugal vs Nigeria
Jun 10, 07:45 PM
⭐ SAFE PREDICTION
Portugal Home Win
66%
Predicted score: 2-1
Outcome Probabilities
1X2 — Match Result
Portugal66%
Draw17%
Nigeria17%
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5 (3+)74%
Under 2.5 (0-2)26%
Both Teams Score
BTTS: Yes66%
BTTS: No34%
Most Likely Scores
2-1
9.0%
3-1
7.8%
2-0
7.2%
How the Model Works
We use an iterative Pi-Ratings model: each team has separate home and away attack/defense ratings, updated after every match. Lambda values are converted to outcome probabilities via Poisson distribution. Match result, over/under, and BTTS predictions are all derived from a single coherent model.
Portugal vs Nigeria — Portugal Home Win: 66%. λ (Home): 2.59 · λ (Away): 1.25.
Predictions are produced by statistical models and cannot be guaranteed. Use as reference only.