🌍 International Friendlies · Friendly International
Qatar vs El Salvador
Jun 06, 08:00 PM · BMO Stadium
⭐ SAFE PREDICTION
Qatar Home Win
60%
Predicted score: 2-1
Outcome Probabilities
1X2 — Match Result
Qatar60%
Draw21%
El Salvador19%
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5 (3+)62%
Under 2.5 (0-2)38%
Both Teams Score
BTTS: Yes58%
BTTS: No42%
Most Likely Scores
2-1
9.9%
2-0
9.0%
1-0
8.6%
How the Model Works
We use an iterative Pi-Ratings model: each team has separate home and away attack/defense ratings, updated after every match. Lambda values are converted to outcome probabilities via Poisson distribution. Match result, over/under, and BTTS predictions are all derived from a single coherent model.
Qatar vs El Salvador — Qatar Home Win: 60%. λ (Home): 2.08 · λ (Away): 1.10.
Predictions are produced by statistical models and cannot be guaranteed. Use as reference only.