goalence

🌍 International Friendlies · Friendly International

Rep. Of Ireland vs Qatar

May 28, 06:45 PM · Aviva Stadium

SAFE PREDICTION

Rep. Of Ireland Home Win

66%

Predicted score: 1-0

Outcome Probabilities

1X2 — Match Result

Rep. Of Ireland66%
Draw21%
Qatar13%

Over/Under 2.5

Over 2.5 (3+)50%
Under 2.5 (0-2)50%

Both Teams Score

BTTS: Yes44%
BTTS: No56%

Most Likely Scores

1-0

13.4%

2-0

13.1%

2-1

9.5%

How the Model Works

We use an iterative Pi-Ratings model: each team has separate home and away attack/defense ratings, updated after every match. Lambda values are converted to outcome probabilities via Poisson distribution. Match result, over/under, and BTTS predictions are all derived from a single coherent model.

Rep. Of Ireland vs QatarRep. Of Ireland Home Win: 66%. λ (Home): 1.95 · λ (Away): 0.73.

Predictions are produced by statistical models and cannot be guaranteed. Use as reference only.