🌍 International Friendlies · Friendly International
Romania vs Wales
Jun 06, 05:45 PM · Stadionul Steaua
○ Normal PREDICTION
Romania Home Win
42%
Predicted score: 1-0
Outcome Probabilities
1X2 — Match Result
Romania42%
Draw26%
Wales32%
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5 (3+)48%
Under 2.5 (0-2)52%
Both Teams Score
BTTS: Yes53%
BTTS: No47%
Most Likely Scores
1-0
10.4%
2-1
8.8%
2-0
7.3%
How the Model Works
We use an iterative Pi-Ratings model: each team has separate home and away attack/defense ratings, updated after every match. Lambda values are converted to outcome probabilities via Poisson distribution. Match result, over/under, and BTTS predictions are all derived from a single coherent model.
Romania vs Wales — Romania Home Win: 42%. λ (Home): 1.40 · λ (Away): 1.20.
Predictions are produced by statistical models and cannot be guaranteed. Use as reference only.