🌍 International Friendlies · Friendly International
Russia vs Burkina Faso
Jun 05, 12:00 PM · Volgograd Arena
🔥 ELITE PREDICTION
Russia Home Win
71%
Predicted score: 2-0
Outcome Probabilities
1X2 — Match Result
Russia71%
Draw17%
Burkina Faso13%
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5 (3+)67%
Under 2.5 (0-2)33%
Both Teams Score
BTTS: Yes57%
BTTS: No43%
Most Likely Scores
2-0
9.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-0
8.1%
How the Model Works
We use an iterative Pi-Ratings model: each team has separate home and away attack/defense ratings, updated after every match. Lambda values are converted to outcome probabilities via Poisson distribution. Match result, over/under, and BTTS predictions are all derived from a single coherent model.
Russia vs Burkina Faso — Russia Home Win: 71%. λ (Home): 2.49 · λ (Away): 0.96.
Predictions are produced by statistical models and cannot be guaranteed. Use as reference only.