🌍 International Friendlies · Friendly International
San Marino vs Azerbaijan
Jun 09, 06:00 PM
🔥 ELITE PREDICTION
Azerbaijan Away Win
74%
Predicted score: 0-2
Outcome Probabilities
1X2 — Match Result
San Marino10%
Draw16%
Azerbaijan74%
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5 (3+)65%
Under 2.5 (0-2)35%
Both Teams Score
BTTS: Yes52%
BTTS: No48%
Most Likely Scores
0-2
11.2%
0-3
9.4%
1-2
9.2%
How the Model Works
We use an iterative Pi-Ratings model: each team has separate home and away attack/defense ratings, updated after every match. Lambda values are converted to outcome probabilities via Poisson distribution. Match result, over/under, and BTTS predictions are all derived from a single coherent model.
San Marino vs Azerbaijan — Azerbaijan Away Win: 74%. λ (Home): 0.82 · λ (Away): 2.52.
Predictions are produced by statistical models and cannot be guaranteed. Use as reference only.