🌍 International Friendlies · Friendly International
San Marino vs Bangladesh
Jun 05, 05:00 PM · San Marino Stadium
○ Normal PREDICTION
San Marino Home Win
39%
Predicted score: 1-0
Outcome Probabilities
1X2 — Match Result
San Marino39%
Draw25%
Bangladesh36%
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5 (3+)53%
Under 2.5 (0-2)47%
Both Teams Score
BTTS: Yes56%
BTTS: No44%
Most Likely Scores
1-0
8.8%
2-1
8.5%
2-0
6.3%
How the Model Works
We use an iterative Pi-Ratings model: each team has separate home and away attack/defense ratings, updated after every match. Lambda values are converted to outcome probabilities via Poisson distribution. Match result, over/under, and BTTS predictions are all derived from a single coherent model.
San Marino vs Bangladesh — San Marino Home Win: 39%. λ (Home): 1.42 · λ (Away): 1.36.
Predictions are produced by statistical models and cannot be guaranteed. Use as reference only.