🌍 International Friendlies · Friendly International
Saudi Arabia vs Senegal
Jun 09, 11:00 PM · Toyota Field
🔥 ELITE PREDICTION
Senegal Away Win
71%
Predicted score: 0-2
Outcome Probabilities
1X2 — Match Result
Saudi Arabia10%
Draw19%
Senegal71%
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5 (3+)49%
Under 2.5 (0-2)51%
Both Teams Score
BTTS: Yes40%
BTTS: No60%
Most Likely Scores
0-2
14.7%
0-1
14.6%
0-3
9.9%
How the Model Works
We use an iterative Pi-Ratings model: each team has separate home and away attack/defense ratings, updated after every match. Lambda values are converted to outcome probabilities via Poisson distribution. Match result, over/under, and BTTS predictions are all derived from a single coherent model.
Saudi Arabia vs Senegal — Senegal Away Win: 71%. λ (Home): 0.61 · λ (Away): 2.02.
Predictions are produced by statistical models and cannot be guaranteed. Use as reference only.