🌍 International Friendlies · Friendly International
Scotland vs Curaçao
May 30, 12:00 PM · Hampden Park
⭐ SAFE PREDICTION
Scotland Home Win
56%
Predicted score: 1-0
Outcome Probabilities
1X2 — Match Result
Scotland56%
Draw24%
Curaçao20%
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5 (3+)48%
Under 2.5 (0-2)52%
Both Teams Score
BTTS: Yes49%
BTTS: No51%
Most Likely Scores
1-0
12.6%
2-0
10.6%
2-1
9.6%
How the Model Works
We use an iterative Pi-Ratings model: each team has separate home and away attack/defense ratings, updated after every match. Lambda values are converted to outcome probabilities via Poisson distribution. Match result, over/under, and BTTS predictions are all derived from a single coherent model.
Scotland vs Curaçao — Scotland Home Win: 56%. λ (Home): 1.68 · λ (Away): 0.91.
Predictions are produced by statistical models and cannot be guaranteed. Use as reference only.