🌍 International Friendlies · Friendly International
Slovenia vs Cyprus
Jun 04, 12:00 PM · Stadion Stozice
🔥 ELITE PREDICTION
Slovenia Home Win
78%
Predicted score: 2-0
Outcome Probabilities
1X2 — Match Result
Slovenia78%
Draw15%
Cyprus7%
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5 (3+)55%
Under 2.5 (0-2)45%
Both Teams Score
BTTS: Yes38%
BTTS: No62%
Most Likely Scores
2-0
15.3%
1-0
13.1%
3-0
11.9%
How the Model Works
We use an iterative Pi-Ratings model: each team has separate home and away attack/defense ratings, updated after every match. Lambda values are converted to outcome probabilities via Poisson distribution. Match result, over/under, and BTTS predictions are all derived from a single coherent model.
Slovenia vs Cyprus — Slovenia Home Win: 78%. λ (Home): 2.34 · λ (Away): 0.55.
Predictions are produced by statistical models and cannot be guaranteed. Use as reference only.