🌍 International Friendlies · Friendly International
South Africa vs Nicaragua
May 29, 04:00 PM · FNB Stadium
⭐ SAFE PREDICTION
South Africa Home Win
62%
Predicted score: 1-0
Outcome Probabilities
1X2 — Match Result
South Africa62%
Draw22%
Nicaragua16%
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5 (3+)52%
Under 2.5 (0-2)48%
Both Teams Score
BTTS: Yes49%
BTTS: No52%
Most Likely Scores
1-0
12.2%
2-0
11.6%
2-1
9.8%
How the Model Works
We use an iterative Pi-Ratings model: each team has separate home and away attack/defense ratings, updated after every match. Lambda values are converted to outcome probabilities via Poisson distribution. Match result, over/under, and BTTS predictions are all derived from a single coherent model.
South Africa vs Nicaragua — South Africa Home Win: 62%. λ (Home): 1.91 · λ (Away): 0.84.
Predictions are produced by statistical models and cannot be guaranteed. Use as reference only.