🌍 International Friendlies · Friendly International
South Korea vs El Salvador
Jun 04, 01:00 AM · America First Field
🔥 ELITE PREDICTION
South Korea Home Win
83%
Predicted score: 2-0
Outcome Probabilities
1X2 — Match Result
South Korea83%
Draw13%
El Salvador5%
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5 (3+)55%
Under 2.5 (0-2)45%
Both Teams Score
BTTS: Yes32%
BTTS: No69%
Most Likely Scores
2-0
16.9%
3-0
14.0%
1-0
13.6%
How the Model Works
We use an iterative Pi-Ratings model: each team has separate home and away attack/defense ratings, updated after every match. Lambda values are converted to outcome probabilities via Poisson distribution. Match result, over/under, and BTTS predictions are all derived from a single coherent model.
South Korea vs El Salvador — South Korea Home Win: 83%. λ (Home): 2.48 · λ (Away): 0.42.
Predictions are produced by statistical models and cannot be guaranteed. Use as reference only.