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🌍 International Friendlies · Friendly International

Spain vs Iraq

Jun 04, 07:00 PM · Estadio Municipal de Riazor

🔥 ELITE PREDICTION

Spain Home Win

92%

Predicted score: 2-0

Outcome Probabilities

1X2 — Match Result

Spain92%
Draw7%
Iraq1%

Over/Under 2.5

Over 2.5 (3+)54%
Under 2.5 (0-2)46%

Both Teams Score

BTTS: Yes9%
BTTS: No91%

Most Likely Scores

2-0

21.9%

3-0

20.1%

1-0

15.8%

How the Model Works

We use an iterative Pi-Ratings model: each team has separate home and away attack/defense ratings, updated after every match. Lambda values are converted to outcome probabilities via Poisson distribution. Match result, over/under, and BTTS predictions are all derived from a single coherent model.

Spain vs IraqSpain Home Win: 92%. λ (Home): 2.76 · λ (Away): 0.10.

Predictions are produced by statistical models and cannot be guaranteed. Use as reference only.